Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (WASH Elo 1866, WSU Elo 1549) plus home-field advantage. That projects WASH -16.1 (88% to win) — 5.4 points of value on WSU versus the market line of -21.5.
Pregame Win Probability
Pick: WASH
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Season stats — 2025
Key matchups · Pro
- WASH pass offense (0.38 PPA) vs. WSU pass defense (0.11 allowed) — edge WASH.
- WASH rush offense (0.26 PPA) vs. WSU rush defense (0.08 allowed) — edge WASH.
- WSU rush offense (0.09 PPA) vs. WASH rush defense (-0.03 allowed) — edge WSU.
FAQ
Who will win Washington State vs. Washington?
Gridpex's model favors Washington with a 88% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Washington State vs. Washington?
The model projects Washington by 16.1.
What time is Washington State vs. Washington and what channel is it on?
Sun, Sep 6, 8:00 PM on NBC, at Husky Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I make this Washington at 88% to win, projecting Washington by 16.1. I'm close to the market here. Who's got an angle the model's missing?