Simmons Bank Liberty StadiumESPN+
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelUT M 38% · MEM 62%
Pick: MEM
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
FAQ
Who will win UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Memphis?
Gridpex's model favors Memphis with a 62% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Memphis?
The model projects Memphis by 4.0.
What time is UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Memphis and what channel is it on?
Sat, Sep 19, 11:00 PM on ESPN+, at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Memphis at 62% to win, projecting Memphis by 4.0.