Scheumann StadiumESPN+
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelSTON 90% · BALL 10%
Pick: STON
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Season stats — 2025
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
FAQ
Who will win Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Ball State?
Gridpex's model favors Stony Brook Seawolves with a 90% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Ball State?
The model projects Stony Brook Seawolves by 17.2.
What time is Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Ball State and what channel is it on?
Sat, Sep 12, 6:00 PM on ESPN+, at Scheumann Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Stony Brook Seawolves at 90% to win, projecting Stony Brook Seawolves by 17.2.