Time TBD
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (NEB Elo 1558, OSU Elo 2138) plus home-field advantage. That projects NEB +21.2 (6% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pick: OSU
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Gridpex's model favors Ohio State with a 94% win probability.
The model projects Ohio State by 21.2.
Time TBD, at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE).
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I make this Ohio State at 94% to win, projecting Ohio State by 21.2.
Team boards, recruiting & CFB talk — start a thread.
Open the boards →