Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith StadiumESPN+
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelMERC 54% · WKU 46%
Pick: MERC
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
FAQ
Who will win Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Western Kentucky?
Gridpex's model favors Mercyhurst Lakers with a 54% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Western Kentucky?
The model projects Mercyhurst Lakers by 1.3.
What time is Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Western Kentucky and what channel is it on?
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM on ESPN+, at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Mercyhurst Lakers at 54% to win, projecting Mercyhurst Lakers by 1.3.