Howard vs. Indiana: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
HOWATeam statsIU
- Q3 6:03IUNick Marsh 51 Yd pass from Grant Wilson (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–55
- Q3 7:53IUDavion Chandler 3 Yd pass from Grant Wilson (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–48
- Q2 1:30IUTurbo Richard 14 Yd Run (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–41
- Q2 4:39IURolijah Hardy 19 Yd Interception Return (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–34
- Q2 6:07IUCharlie Becker 41 Yd pass from Josh Hoover (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–27
- Q1 1:34IUShazz Preston 39 Yd pass from Josh Hoover (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–20
- Q1 4:16IUCharlie Becker 6 Yd pass from Josh Hoover (Paddy McAteer PAT failed)0–13
- Q1 12:56IUCharlie Becker 34 Yd pass from Josh Hoover (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = HOWA ahead, below = IU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassJa'Shawn Scroggins 8/15, 43 YDS, 1 INT
- RushBilly Roberson II 7 CAR, 14 YDS
- RecDerrick Miller 1 REC, 15 YDS
- PassJosh Hoover 6/11, 145 YDS, 4 TD
- RushLee Beebe Jr. 16 CAR, 112 YDS
- RecCharlie Becker 3 REC, 81 YDS, 3 TD
FAQ
What was the final score of Howard vs. Indiana?
Howard 0, Indiana 55.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (IU) was correct.
| HOWA | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Total yards | 505 |
| 44 | Passing yards | 209 |
| 13 | Rushing yards | 296 |
| 4 | First downs | 24 |
| 2-14 | 3rd down | 7-10 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 1-2 |
| 10/20 | Comp/Att | 9/16 |
| 2.2 | Yards per pass | 13.1 |
| 0.5 | Yards per rush | 6.4 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 7-51 | Penalties | 2-15 |
| 26:24 | Possession | 33:36 |
- Q3 6:03IUNick Marsh 51 Yd pass from Grant Wilson (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–55
- Q3 7:53IUDavion Chandler 3 Yd pass from Grant Wilson (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–48
- Q2 1:30IUTurbo Richard 14 Yd Run (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–41
- Q2 4:39IURolijah Hardy 19 Yd Interception Return (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–34
- Q2 6:07IUCharlie Becker 41 Yd pass from Josh Hoover (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–27
- Q1 1:34IUShazz Preston 39 Yd pass from Josh Hoover (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–20
- Q1 4:16IUCharlie Becker 6 Yd pass from Josh Hoover (Paddy McAteer PAT failed)0–13
- Q1 12:56IUCharlie Becker 34 Yd pass from Josh Hoover (Paddy McAteer Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects IU -60.2 (100% to win) — 2.7 points clear of IU's market line of -57.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →