Grambling vs. TCU: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
GRAMTeam statsTCU
- Q4 3:24TCUAmante Martin 10 Yd Run (Nate McCashland Kick)7–63
- Q4 9:52TCUTeon Parks 67 Yd Interception Return (Nate McCashland Kick)7–56
- Q4 12:23TCUKari Ashley 15 Yd pass from Jaden Craig (Nate McCashland Kick)7–49
- Q3 2:20TCUJeremy Scott 52 Yd pass from Jaden Craig (Nate McCashland Kick)7–42
- Q3 9:23TCUKari Ashley 29 Yd pass from Jaden Craig (Nate McCashland Kick)7–35
- Q2 1:48TCUJoe Pitchford 1 Yd Run (Nate McCashland Kick)7–28
- Q2 4:25GRAMByron Eaton Jr. 7 Yd pass from Reginald Johnson (Theodore Caballero Kick)7–21
- Q2 8:26TCUKa'Morreun Pimpton 9 Yd pass from Jaden Craig (Nate McCashland Kick)0–21
- Q2 10:53TCUJon Denman 1 Yd Run (Nate McCashland Kick)0–14
- Q1 12:21TCUMajor Everhart 8 Yd Run (Nate McCashland Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = GRAM ahead, below = TCU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassReginald Johnson 14/20, 190 YDS, 1 TD
- RushJamarion Parker 5 CAR, 9 YDS
- RecJordan Bride 4 REC, 79 YDS
- PassJaden Craig 24/31, 391 YDS, 4 TD
- RushJeremy Payne 9 CAR, 79 YDS
- RecKari Ashley 7 REC, 119 YDS, 2 TD
FAQ
What was the final score of Grambling vs. TCU?
Grambling 7, TCU 63.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (TCU) was correct.
| GRAM | TCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 210 | Total yards | 676 |
| 190 | Passing yards | 391 |
| 20 | Rushing yards | 285 |
| 7 | First downs | 33 |
| 1-14 | 3rd down | 2-7 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 2-2 |
| 14/25 | Comp/Att | 24/32 |
| 7.6 | Yards per pass | 12.2 |
| 0.7 | Yards per rush | 7.7 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 7-54 | Penalties | 5-60 |
| 30:26 | Possession | 29:34 |
- Q4 3:24TCUAmante Martin 10 Yd Run (Nate McCashland Kick)7–63
- Q4 9:52TCUTeon Parks 67 Yd Interception Return (Nate McCashland Kick)7–56
- Q4 12:23TCUKari Ashley 15 Yd pass from Jaden Craig (Nate McCashland Kick)7–49
- Q3 2:20TCUJeremy Scott 52 Yd pass from Jaden Craig (Nate McCashland Kick)7–42
- Q3 9:23TCUKari Ashley 29 Yd pass from Jaden Craig (Nate McCashland Kick)7–35
- Q2 1:48TCUJoe Pitchford 1 Yd Run (Nate McCashland Kick)7–28
- Q2 4:25GRAMByron Eaton Jr. 7 Yd pass from Reginald Johnson (Theodore Caballero Kick)7–21
- Q2 8:26TCUKa'Morreun Pimpton 9 Yd pass from Jaden Craig (Nate McCashland Kick)0–21
- Q2 10:53TCUJon Denman 1 Yd Run (Nate McCashland Kick)0–14
- Q1 12:21TCUMajor Everhart 8 Yd Run (Nate McCashland Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects TCU -36.2 (98% to win) — 8.3 points clear of GRAM's market line of -44.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →