Sat, Sep 19, 11:00 PM
Pick: USF
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
Gridpex's model favors South Florida with a 84% win probability.
The model projects South Florida by 13.4.
Sat, Sep 19, 11:00 PM on ESPN+, at Raymond James Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I make this South Florida at 84% to win, projecting South Florida by 13.4.
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