Time TBD
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (BAY Elo 1509, COLO Elo 1344) plus home-field advantage. That projects BAY -10.7 (79% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pick: BAY
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Gridpex's model favors Baylor with a 79% win probability.
The model projects Baylor by 10.7.
Time TBD, at McLane Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I make this Baylor at 79% to win, projecting Baylor by 10.7.
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