| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORT | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| WYO | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
WYO up 17 entering the 4th quarter. Across 841 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Northern Iowa 7, Wyoming 31.
No — the model picked NORT, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had NORT pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Matthew Schecklman pass intercepted
Matthew Schecklman pass intercepted
Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 21 yds for a TD (Erik Sandvik KICK)
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