Sun, Aug 31, 2:00 AM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORT | 0 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
| ASU | 14 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 38 |
ASU up 18 entering the 4th quarter. Across 838 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Northern Arizona 19, Arizona State 38.
Yes — the model's pick (ASU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had ASU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Sam Leavitt run for 52 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)
Kyson Brown run for 34 yds to the NAU 19 for a 1ST down
Ty Pennington pass incomplete to Kolbe Katsis
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
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