Nebraska vs. Cincinnati: Final Score & Recap
Fri, Aug 29, 1:00 AM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEB | 0 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 20 |
| CIN | 3 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 17 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo ratings (CIN Elo 1475, NEB Elo 1524) on a neutral field. That projects CIN +2 (44% to win) — 4.0 points of value on CIN versus the market line of +6.
Pregame Win Probability
Pick: NEB · 13 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Offense
Defense
Key matchups · Pro
- CIN pass offense (0.42 PPA) vs. NEB pass defense (0.19 allowed) — edge CIN.
- NEB pass offense (0.22 PPA) vs. CIN pass defense (0.27 allowed) — edge CIN.
- NEB rush offense (0.13 PPA) vs. CIN rush defense (0.17 allowed) — edge CIN.
Drive-by-drive
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
NEB up 3 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,457 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Nebraska vs. Cincinnati?
Nebraska 20, Cincinnati 17.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (NEB) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
Called it — I had NEB pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.