| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KENN | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
| JXST | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 |
Team stats
Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo ratings (JXST Elo 1501, KENN Elo 1401) plus home-field advantage. That projects JXST -6.4 (68% to win) — 8.4 points of value on JXST versus the market line of +2.
Game flow
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = KENN ahead, below = JXST ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season stats — 2025
Key matchups · Pro
- KENN pass offense (0.33 PPA) vs. JXST pass defense (0.24 allowed) — edge KENN.
- JXST rush offense (0.20 PPA) vs. KENN rush defense (0.16 allowed) — edge JXST.
- JXST pass offense (0.19 PPA) vs. KENN pass defense (0.19 allowed) — edge KENN.
Drive-by-drive
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
KENN up 10 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,140 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville State?
Kennesaw State 19, Jacksonville State 15.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked JXST, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had JXST pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.