Sat, Sep 6, 11:30 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CCU | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 13 |
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = CHAR ahead, below = CCU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
CCU up 3 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,457 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Charleston Southern 0, Coastal Carolina 13.
No — the model picked CHAR, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had CHAR pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
MJ Morris pass intercepted
Dominic Knicely run for 52 yds to the CHSO 17 for a 1ST down
Zolten Osborne pass intercepted
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