Texas Southern vs. Rice: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats

Texas Southern

Rice0-1
▸Final
Rice Stadium
TEXATeam statsRICE
87Total yards533
49Pass204
38Rush329
9First downs24
4-153rd down3-8
2Turnovers1
33:04Possession26:56
- Q4 0:14TEXAKordell Rodgers 12 Yd pass from Jordon Davis (Gustavo Romero Kick)7–69
- Q4 7:07RICEColeman Bennett 22 Yd Run (Tim Horn Kick)0–69
- Q4 10:08RICETaji Atkins 33 Yd Run (Enock Gota Kick)0–62
- Q3 1:04RICETaji Atkins 5 Yd Run (Enock Gota Kick)0–55
- Q3 8:59RICEEnock Gota 44 Yd Field Goal 0–48
- Q3 14:37RICEDean Connors 71 Yd Run (Enock Gota Kick)0–45
- Q2 0:02RICEEnock Gota 25 Yd Field Goal 0–38
- Q2 6:46RICEDean Connors 5 Yd Run (Enock Gota Kick)0–35
- Q2 10:59RICETyson Flowers 34 Yd Interception Return (Enock Gota Kick)0–28
- Q2 11:48RICEMatt Sykes 34 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Enock Gota Kick)0–21
- Q1 1:15RICEBraylen Walker 4 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Enock Gota Kick)0–14
- Q1 8:43RICEDean Connors 5 Yd Run (Enock Gota Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Market line
RICE −30
Against the number
RICE covered
line RICE −30
Kickoff143 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
RICE (top)TEXA (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: RICE 100%
Closing line
RICE −30
Closing total
52.5
Model line
—
Actual result
TEXA 7 – 69 RICE
Texas Southern
- PassJordon Davis 8/13, 42 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushDanny Green Jr. 7 CAR, 18 YDS
- RecDonald McKinney 2 REC, 19 YDS
Rice
- PassE.J. Warner 20/30, 189 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushDean Connors 9 CAR, 113 YDS, 3 TD
- RecMatt Sykes 2 REC, 47 YDS, 1 TD
29.3sper snap · slower the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
118
Points / snap
0.64
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsRICE up 55 entering the 4th quarter. Across 46 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
RICE went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Texas Southern vs. Rice?
Texas Southern 7, Rice 69.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (RICE) was correct.
TEXA
RICE
22%
Success rate
56%
-0.27
EPA / pass
0.27
-0.12
EPA / rush
0.76
18%
Early-down success
57%
21%
Pass success
47%
23%
Rush success
65%
2%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
14%
13%
Stuffed rush rate
7%
44%
Pass rate
51%
9.4
Avg 3rd-down distance
8.5
TEXA
9.4 yards to go on 3rd down
55 scrimmage snaps
RICE
8.5 yards to go on 3rd down
63 scrimmage snaps
| TEXA | RICE | |
|---|---|---|
| 87 | Total yards | 533 |
| 49 | Passing yards | 204 |
| 38 | Rushing yards | 329 |
| 9 | First downs | 24 |
| 4-15 | 3rd down | 3-8 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 2-2 |
| 10/19 | Comp/Att | 22/32 |
| 2.6 | Yards per pass | 6.4 |
| 1.1 | Yards per rush | 10.3 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 6-40 | Penalties | 8-72 |
| 33:04 | Possession | 26:56 |
TEXA
10/11 with the model
nothing given up
RICE
4/5 with the model
−0.1 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q2 0:02 RICE field goal on 4th & 4 at TEXA 7. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.06 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishTEXA 2/14 scoring drives← own end zone →RICE 10/13 scoring drives
RICETD8 pl, 68 yds· own 32Q1
TEXAPUNT3 pl, 17 yds· own 17Q1
RICETD11 pl, 56 yds· own 44Q1
TEXAPUNT3 pl, -7 yds· own 25Q1
TEXAPUNT3 pl, 11 yds· own 25Q1
RICEPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 48Q2
TEXAPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 2Q2
RICETD1 pl, 34 yds· opp 34Q2
TEXATD2 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q2
TEXAPUNT4 pl, -1 yds· own 25Q2
RICETD3 pl, 47 yds· opp 47Q2
TEXAPUNT3 pl, -9 yds· own 25Q2
RICEINT1 pl, 0 yds· opp 45Q2
TEXAPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 37Q2
RICEFG15 pl, 67 yds· own 26Q2
TEXAEND1 pl, -2 yds· own 25Q2
RICETD1 pl, 71 yds· own 29Q3
TEXAPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q3
RICEFG6 pl, 29 yds· own 45Q3
TEXAINT6 pl, 17 yds· own 25Q3
RICETD11 pl, 78 yds· own 22Q3
TEXAPUNT3 pl, -6 yds· own 25Q3
RICETD3 pl, 45 yds· opp 45Q4
TEXAPUNT3 pl, -5 yds· own 25Q4
RICETD2 pl, 28 yds· opp 28Q4
TEXATD13 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
RICEEND1 pl, -2 yds· own 44Q4
- Q4 0:14TEXAKordell Rodgers 12 Yd pass from Jordon Davis (Gustavo Romero Kick)7–69
- Q4 7:07RICEColeman Bennett 22 Yd Run (Tim Horn Kick)0–69
- Q4 10:08RICETaji Atkins 33 Yd Run (Enock Gota Kick)0–62
- Q3 1:04RICETaji Atkins 5 Yd Run (Enock Gota Kick)0–55
- Q3 8:59RICEEnock Gota 44 Yd Field Goal 0–48
- Q3 14:37RICEDean Connors 71 Yd Run (Enock Gota Kick)0–45
- Q2 0:02RICEEnock Gota 25 Yd Field Goal 0–38
- Q2 6:46RICEDean Connors 5 Yd Run (Enock Gota Kick)0–35
- Q2 10:59RICETyson Flowers 34 Yd Interception Return (Enock Gota Kick)0–28
- Q2 11:48RICEMatt Sykes 34 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Enock Gota Kick)0–21
- Q1 1:15RICEBraylen Walker 4 Yd pass from E.J. Warner (Enock Gota Kick)0–14
- Q1 8:43RICEDean Connors 5 Yd Run (Enock Gota Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →
