Fordham vs. UAlbany: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Fordham

UAlbany

▸

Final

Bob Ford Field

	1	2	3	4	T
FORD	3	3	7	0	13
UALB	7	14	3	10	34

FORDTeam statsUALB

235Total yards399

198Pass253

37Rush146

16First downs23

2-123rd down9-16

1Turnovers0

25:33Possession34:27

Q4 7:14UALBJohn Opalko 26 Yd Field Goal 13–34
Q4 13:23UALBBrevin Easton 30 Yd pass from Reese Poffenbarger (John Opalko Kick)13–31
Q3 2:20UALBJohn Opalko 21 Yd Field Goal 13–24
Q3 11:45FORDCole Thornton 24 Yd pass from CJ Montes (Brandon Peskin Kick)13–21
Q2 0:41UALBRoy Alexander 18 Yd pass from Reese Poffenbarger (John Opalko Kick)6–21
Q2 1:31UALBGriffin Woodell 8 Yd pass from Reese Poffenbarger (John Opalko Kick)6–14
Q2 13:49FORDBrandon Peskin 26 Yd Field Goal 6–7
Q1 1:16FORDBrandon Peskin 30 Yd Field Goal 3–7
Q1 5:30UALBRoy Alexander 6 Yd pass from Reese Poffenbarger (John Opalko Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

UALB −4.5

Against the number

UALB covered

line UALB −4.5

What the numbers say

FORD played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and UALB did not face the same ones. 3rd & 8.8 vs 3rd & 6.7

Kickoff159 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

UALB (top)FORD (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: UALB 100%

Closing line

UALB −4.5

Closing total

59.0

Model line

—

Actual result

FORD 13 – 34 UALB

Fordham

PassCJ Montes 18/31, 198 YDS, 1 TD
RushJulius Loughridge 12 CAR, 48 YDS
RecMJ Wright 6 REC, 61 YDS

UAlbany

PassReese Poffenbarger 23/40, 253 YDS, 4 TD
RushNate Larkins 12 CAR, 69 YDS
RecRoy Alexander 6 REC, 58 YDS, 2 TD

6.7sper snap · faster the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

134

Points / snap

0.35

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

UALB up 11 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,141 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

88%

UALB went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WIowa vs Utah State24-14 WDelaware vs Stony Brook37-13 WTexas State vs Baylor42-31 WKentucky vs Eastern Kentucky28-17 WSouthern Illinois vs Northern Illinois14-11

FAQ

What was the final score of Fordham vs. UAlbany?

Fordham 13, UAlbany 34.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (UALB) was correct.

FORD

UALB

44%

Success rate

39%

-0.04

EPA / pass

0.26

0.09

EPA / rush

0.15

47%

Early-down success

36%

45%

Pass success

40%

44%

Rush success

39%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

Stuffed rush rate

10%

64%

Pass rate

56%

8.8

Avg 3rd-down distance

6.7

FORD

8.8 yards to go on 3rd down

63 scrimmage snaps

UALB

6.7 yards to go on 3rd down

71 scrimmage snaps

FORD		UALB
235	Total yards	399
198	Passing yards	253
37	Rushing yards	146
16	First downs	23
2-12	3rd down	9-16
1-2	4th down	0-1
18/31	Comp/Att	23/40
6.4	Yards per pass	6.3
1.2	Yards per rush	4.9
1	Turnovers	0
9-60	Penalties	7-60
25:33	Possession	34:27

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

FORDTeam statsUALB

Scoring plays

How the model called it

What the numbers say

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Fordham vs. UAlbany?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Fordham vs. UAlbany: Final Score & Recap

FORDTeam statsUALB

How the model called it

What the numbers say

What was the final score of Fordham vs. UAlbany?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?