West Virginia vs. Oklahoma State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
WVUTeam statsOKST
- Q4 3:12WVUDreamius Smith 40 Yd Run (Josh Lambert Kick)34–10
- Q4 4:44WVUDravon Henry 52 Yd Interception Return (Josh Lambert Kick)27–10
- Q4 10:14WVUJosh Lambert 43 Yd Field Goal 20–10
- Q3 9:59WVUJosh Lambert 39 Yd Field Goal 17–10
- Q2 8:34OKSTTeddy Johnson 8 Yd pass from Daxx Garman (Ben Grogan Kick)14–10
- Q2 14:11OKSTBen Grogan 40 Yd Field Goal 14–3
- Q1 7:49WVUMario Alford 79 Yd pass from Clint Trickett (Josh Lambert Kick)14–0
- Q1 10:29WVUKevin White 19 Yd pass from Clint Trickett (Josh Lambert Kick)7–0
How the model called it
- PassClint Trickett 21/30, 238 YDS, 2 TD
- RushWendell Smallwood 23 CAR, 132 YDS
- RecMario Alford 7 REC, 136 YDS, 1 TD
- PassDaxx Garman 21/41, 242 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
- RushTyreek Hill 14 CAR, 78 YDS
- RecJames Washington 5 REC, 87 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsWVU up 7 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,299 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q2 8:34OKST +21%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Teddy Johnson for 8 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
- Q1 7:49WVU +19%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 79 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
- Q1 10:29WVU +18%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 19 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
- Q3 9:59WVU +14%
Josh Lambert 39 yd FG GOOD
- Q4 10:14WVU +13%
Josh Lambert 43 yd FG GOOD
- Q4 13:48WVU +12%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 14 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST down
FAQ
What was the final score of West Virginia vs. Oklahoma State?
West Virginia 34, Oklahoma State 10.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked OKST, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| WVU | OKST | |
|---|---|---|
| 448 | Total yards | 436 |
| 238 | Passing yards | 242 |
| 210 | Rushing yards | 194 |
| 22 | First downs | 23 |
| 9-18 | 3rd down | 2-15 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 1-5 |
| 21/30 | Comp/Att | 21/41 |
| 7.9 | Yards per pass | 5.9 |
| 4.8 | Yards per rush | 5.0 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 7-57 | Penalties | 4-30 |
| 33:39 | Possession | 26:21 |
Costliest call
Q2 10:13 WVU punt on 4th & 3 at OKST 46. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.80 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 3:12WVUDreamius Smith 40 Yd Run (Josh Lambert Kick)34–10
- Q4 4:44WVUDravon Henry 52 Yd Interception Return (Josh Lambert Kick)27–10
- Q4 10:14WVUJosh Lambert 43 Yd Field Goal 20–10
- Q3 9:59WVUJosh Lambert 39 Yd Field Goal 17–10
- Q2 8:34OKSTTeddy Johnson 8 Yd pass from Daxx Garman (Ben Grogan Kick)14–10
- Q2 14:11OKSTBen Grogan 40 Yd Field Goal 14–3
- Q1 7:49WVUMario Alford 79 Yd pass from Clint Trickett (Josh Lambert Kick)14–0
- Q1 10:29WVUKevin White 19 Yd pass from Clint Trickett (Josh Lambert Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (OKST Elo 1742, WVU Elo 1584 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects OKST -8.7 (73% to win) — 9.2 points clear of OKST's market line of +0.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2014
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#31 of 94 in 2014 by biggest miss · #75 of 94 in 2014 by longest odds.
The 2014 upset archive →Oklahoma State leads 10–6 · 38% have been one-possession games
| WVU | OKST | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.93 | points / drive | 1.63 |
| 1.79 | allowed / drive | 2.09 |
| 25% | three-and-outs | 37% |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
Create a free account →You get Pro free for 6 months. No card required.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →