| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAT | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
| MEM | 14 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 45 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
MEM up 35 entering the 4th quarter. Across 276 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Chattanooga 10, Memphis 45.
Yes — the model's pick (MEM) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had MEM pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Camden Orth pass intercepted DeMarco Ward return for 27 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)
Brendon Lewis pass intercepted Marquise Freeman return for 20 yds to the UTC 46
Camden Orth pass complete to Markell Quick for 16 yds to the MEM 41 for a 1ST down
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