Utah
1-0·Big 12· Elo 1638
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| UTAH | 14 | 21 | 21 | 7 | 63 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
UTAH up 50 entering the 4th quarter. Across 81 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Cal Poly 9, Utah 63.
Yes — the model's pick (UTAH) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had UTAH pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Ty Dieffenbach pass intercepted Jackson Bennee return for 46 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)
Devon Dampier pass complete to Wayshawn Parker for 52 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)
Byrd Ficklin run for 38 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)
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