Chart 5 of 7
Why the model made Boise State the pick
Last season's body of work+4.2 pts
Quarterback+2.3 pts
Returning production+1.9 pts
Roster talent-1.1 pts
Transfer portal+1.1 pts
Points each factor added to Boise State's projected margin — computed before kickoff.
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From Washington beat Boise State by 28 while gaining 0.7 more yards per drive
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