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What comparable games predict next
Missouri offense (winner)38% of 8 rebounded
Arkansas-Pine Bluff offense (loser)67% of 6 rebounded
Games since 2019 whose shape most resembles this one — matched on how close the margin was, how far the result ran from the spread, and how each offense performed against its own season norm — and how often that offense outperformed this level the following week.
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From Austin Simmons threw four touchdowns in six possessions
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