Chart 4 of 4
What separates Minnesota and Mississippi State
Returning productionhow much of last year's production is back this seasonMinnesota +2
Roster talentoverall talent level of the roster — recruiting pedigree plus an independent preseason roster gradeMinnesota +1
Last season's body of worklast year's power rating, regressed toward the averageMinnesota +1
Quarterbackthe projected starter's quality and how settled the job isMinnesota +1
Each ingredient of our projection and the side it favors — bars toward Minnesota are why it's the pick (home field is counted separately).
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From Mississippi State's only path is the explosive play
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