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Points per game above teams holding an equally good roster

Talent-matched, leave-one-out, 2015-2025. Zero means 'exactly as good as the roster says'.

Ohio Statet = 5.20+6.95

Michigan+3.66

Clemson+2.76

Georgia+1.86

Alabamat = 1.38 — n.s.+1.77

LSU-0.02

USC-2.94

Texas-3.27

Alabama recruits better than Ohio State over this window and converts it into +1.77, which is not statistically distinguishable from zero (t = 1.38). Ohio State's +6.95 carries t = 5.20.

GRIDPEX.COM

From Ohio State gets more out of its players than any team in college football. Alabama, which recruits better, doesn't.

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<iframe src="https://gridpex.com/embed/c/against-equally-talented-rosters-ohio-state-beats-expectation-by-7-points-a-game-alabama-b/2" title="Points per game above teams holding an equally good roster" width="100%" height="520" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy"></iframe>
<p style="font:12px system-ui;color:#716a64">Chart: <a href="https://gridpex.com/c/against-equally-talented-rosters-ohio-state-beats-expectation-by-7-points-a-game-alabama-b/2">Points per game above teams holding an equally good roster</a> by <a href="https://gridpex.com">Gridpex</a></p>